For Gamblers, by Gamblers.

Author: John Broderick (Page 3 of 12)

Ultimate College Football Preview, 130 Teams In 130 Days: Baylor

Welcome to the Ultimate College Football Preview for 2023. Every team in FBS Football will be covered in this daily blog release. All of your favorite teams from the ACC, AAC, Big 12, Big 10, C-USA, MAC, Mountain West, PAC 12, SEC, Sun Belt & even every Independent. Think of these daily college football previews as a cheat sheet going into next year.

2022 Recap:

What to say about the Baylor Bears in the 2022 season hmmmmm? Disappointing I think is the best word to describe the Bears last year. They only had 5 wins vs. FBS schools and 6 wins overall. But if you ask any Baylor fan last year was kind of a dumpster fire. The Bears stared off the first two thirds of the season with a respectable 6-3. Then they lost the last 4 games including a bowl loss to a service academy in Air Force. That is just not acceptable for the fans in Waco. Yes their last 3 regular season games were against 3 ranked in conference teams but you have to win won. They let TCU squeak out a last second win, good teams don’t allow that to happen. There is too much talent and the coaching is too good to go .500 on the year. Just what could have been, they were in contention to make the conference championship the last third of the year and just shit the bed.

Head Coach:

One thing I do like about Baylor is Head Coach Dave Aranda. I think he has the exact temperament needed in Waco after all the bullshit that has gone on there in years before. Aranda is a defensive wizard and he teams usually always compete. After a terrible covid laden 2020 first season at Baylor, where he went 2-12 he bounced back. His second year on the job he took the Bears to a 12-2 season. They won the Big 12 and the Sugar Bowl. That is what I believe the ceiling is in Waco and Aranda hit it year 2. Last year was a regression year going 6-7 with a bowl loss. Baylor is not a national power that is suppose to win double digit games every year. I do think however a bowl game each year and playing for the conference title and ten wins every 2 or 3 years should be the goal for Aranda. I just hope his early great success doesn’t cost him in the long run in Waco. the fans need to realize they have a great coach but they are Baylor, not Alabama.

Key Players:

Red Shirt Junior QB Blake Shapen is back in Waco after last year he had 2,790 yards on a 63.3 % completion percentage. Shapen had 18 touchdowns and 10 interceptions in Baylor’s Power Spread offense. Honestly I think he could do a lot better and they expect him to take a huge jump up this year. His number one target, Monaray Baldwin who had 33 catches 565 yards and 4 touchdowns is back for his Junior year. He has his second leading WR, Hal Presley back after having 32 catches for 382 yards and 4 touchdowns last year. I think these two along with new guys stepping up could make an electric passing game in Waco. The backfield has the biggest contributor on offense coming back in Richard Reese , who as a true freshman had 972 rushing yards and 14 touchdowns. The youth from last year on offense is now experienced. That usually makes for big time play making! The loss of the top two tacklers from last year will need to be replaced. One guy ready for that job is LB Matt Jones who last year had 65 tackles, 4.5 TFL’s and 2 sacks. I am expecting him to be the captain of that defense. Along with Garmon Randolph who lead the team in sacks at DE. I love doing a college football preview about a team that is on the up and up.

2023 Prediction:

One of the most important parts of a college football preview is, well it is previewing the season opponents. I believe the Bears are guaranteed to go at worst 2-1 in the non-conference. They are playing home vs. Texas State and LIU, definite wins. If somehow they pull an upset of Utah, which isn’t too crazy because it is in Waco 3-0 is on the table. Their road games in conference are tough vs. new comers UCF and Cincinnati. They also play Kansas State and TCU on the road. If they can split that, which is very possible that is a 5-2 record. Hmm. I am actually going over the games while writing so excuse the moments of thoughts in this blog. They do have to play Texas. I am saying 8 wins plus all day for the Baylor Bears. I can see a great season at 10-2 and I think the floor, the very bottom is 7 wins. The way the schedule lines up, the talent back, the coaching, I like Baylor this year. It is fun doing these previews and realizing who might be a surprise and Baylor will be one of those teams this year.

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Put These On The Card 5/14

Happy Mother’s Day to all you ladies out there that had to deal with the brutal pains of child birth. Speaking of brutal pains I would like to apologize for yesterday’s “put these on the card“. That was deplorable and unacceptable credit me for pointing out my short comings and owning them. But today is a new dawn, a day day, a new life for me and I’m feeling good!!

This song is the perfect vibe for me and what took place yesterday. Not my fault, I had the right picks but the teams didn’t show up. I can’t hit my 75% goal for this week, we will next, our record being 7-11. That is so damn embarrassing. We usually give you 3 plays, but so I can get to .500 we have 4, so put these on the card.

Tampa Bay Rays ML -120 @ Yankees

This is one of the losses that shouldn’t count against me yesterday. The Rays just blew it late in the game, I had the right read of the game they just gave it away. There is no way in hell the Rays will give the series up, they will walk away from the Bronx 2-2 after today. The Rays have their second best pitcher Eflin on the mound. I feel as though he will mow down the Yankees an humble their bats. Rays big today, bounce back.

Chicago Cubs ML +108 @ Twins

The Cubs have been the surprise team in the NL Central this year. They are only 3 games back in the division and 1 in the wild card. Stroman is on the mound for the Cubs today. I know he only has a 2-3 record but his ERA is 2.28 with 44 K’s. He has gone 6 innings in 7 of his 8 starts. I just like the Cubs to win today, I think the Twins are playing above who they really are as well.

Boston Celtics ML -275 vs Sixers

The Celtics played like absolute dog shit in game 6 and still won on the road. Tatum saved their sorry asses, as he balled out in the 4th to comeback and win the game. I expect the rest of the Celtics to come out firing on all cylinders and play their best game of the series. Let be honest too, Doc Rivers always loses game sevens. The Sixers are known for being choke artists, so this is the only play here.

Jason Tatum Double Double/Celtics Win +134

A little Mother’s Day bonus prop bet for y’all today. Like I said Tatum carried the Celtics last game in the 4th quarter. If I was betting the Celtics today, which I am, I have to think he is at least getting a double double at home. It is a close out game 7 at home to go to the Eastern Conference Championship. Big time players play biggest in big moments. All of those things are Jason Tatum, this is an easy prop pick. Have a fun Mother’s Day and put these on the card.

Ultimate College Football Preview, 130 Teams In 130 Days: UCF

Welcome to the Ultimate College Football Preview for 2023. Every team in FBS Football will be covered in this daily blog release. All of your favorite teams from the ACC, AAC, Big 12, Big 10, C-USA, MAC, Mountain West, PAC 12, SEC, Sun Belt & even every Independent. Think of these daily college football previews as a cheat sheet going into next year.

2022 Recap:

The Knights had a good year in 2022 finishing the regular season at 9-3. They lost their last two games, the AAC Championship vs. Tulane and the Military Bowl vs. Duke. UCF was a very good team on both sides of the ball. On Offense they were ranked 31st in points per game and Defense they were 46th. The Knights were the second best team in the AAC and they showed that on the field.

Head Coach:

Coach Gus Malzahn is one of the most successful head coaches in college football. He has a National Championship under his belt as well as an SEC, and Sun Belt Championship. Malzahn also won the Bobby Bowden Coach of the Year Award in 2013. Malzahn is known to be one of the best Offensive minds in all of college football as well. In his 2 years so far at UCF he has led them to back to back 9 win seasons and at the top of the AAC. His hurry up no huddle offense has been adopted by most of major college football. What I am saying is Gus is a top ten active coach.

Key Players:

Everyone knows their can not be a college football preview without talking about the most important position. Quarterback John Rhys Plumlee is back for his senior season. Last year Plumlee threw for 2,586 yards on a 63% completion percentage with 14 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. He also rushed for 856 yards and 11 more touchdowns. He split time in 4 games with QB Mikey Keene but this year it will all be up to him. Plumlee has his two leading WR from last year back. Javon Baker and Kobe Hudson combined for 1,437 yards on 95 catches with 12 touchdowns. R.J. Harvey is back in the backfield bringing his 6.7 yards per carry and 5 touchdowns from last year. Last year he split time but he will be the load carrier all yer for the Knights running game. The defense has a lot of senior leadership on it this year for UCF. Big time playmakers are back like LB Tre’mon Morris-Brash who had 52 tackles, 13 TFL and 6 sacks last season. Along with Brash 4 of the 5 leading tackles are back for the Knights. LB Jason Johnson, DE Josh Celiscar and LB Walter Yates combined last year for 234 tackles, 17.5 sacks and 17.5 TFL’s. Most of the defensive production is back for the Knights and that is a scary thought for their opponent’s.

2023 Prediction:

The Knights will be playing their first Big 12 schedule this year and that will be tough. I do think however they will go 3-0 in the non-conference with their games vs. Kent State and Villanova at home and Boise State away. I honestly think they can go 5-4 or 6-3 in conference this year and surprise some critics. UCF is 20-1 to win the division and I may take a flier on that. Most of their production on both sides of the ball are back and they have Coach Malzahn. UCF will be going to a pretty decent bowl and will be in the talk to winning the conference year one.

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Put These On The Card 5/13

I am not really sure what happened on yesterdays “put these on the card“. The Twins gave the game away in the last inning after Sonny Gray had another dominating performance. Stupid way to lose. Then the Warriors just completely laid an egg. I guess it is the weekend that will make or break me this week.

The goal this week was to go 75% on our picks. But after and 0-3 Thursday and yesterday’s 1-2 it does not look great. On the week we are 7-8 and are fighting to just get to 50%. We are still going to fight through these hard times and go undefeated the rest of this week. I have 3 fantastic picks for you today, so have a hell of a weekend and put these on the card.

Tampa Bay Rays ML -138 @ New York Yankees

The Yankees won yesterday vs the best team in baseball and I am usually betting on them. They will not be winning back to back games vs. the Rays especially with McClanahan on the mound for Tampa Today. I love the Rays to take a 2-1 series lead today and to take the series in New York 3-1. The Yankees should be happy even taking one game out of this series.

Atlanta Braves ML + 108 @ Blue Jays

I like to live my a code of principles when it comes to betting. In the earliest edition of put these on the card I told you some of the principles. One of them is this year when the Braves are plus money no matter what take them. If they are on a huge losing streak, on the road, no matter what take the Braves plus money. I don’t go against my principles so here we go even with the Jays at home with Berrios on the mound. Hammer the Braves to find a way to win.

D.C. Defenders ML -290 vs. Arlington

The Defenders have been the best team in the XFL all year long. Yes this is a huge juicy play at -290 I know. Bet a lot to win a little but it only matters that you are right. The dual QB system for DC has been unbelievable all season and it won’t stop today in the Championship game. This is as close to a sure thing as you can get, Hammer the Defenders.

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Put These On The Card 5/12

After a decent start to the week, yesterday’s “put these on the card” was our worst in the 6 weeks we have been doing this blog. You know I really try to give everyone winners and a little entertainment on these daily gambling blogs. I know I always deliver the entertainment. But yesterday, I fell flat on my face on the picks. Never again will we go 0-3, we fight back today.

Because it is times like these you learn to bet right again. I have changed my approach today doing 2 NBA picks and only one MLB pick. Doing the research and going outside the comfort zone to grab 3 winners. Right now we are at 6-6, after today we will be at 9-6 so put these on these on the card!

Minnesota Twins ML -154 vs. Cubs

The cubs have been a surprisingly good team this year. Even there pitcher going tonight Drew Smyly has a 3-1 record with a 3.05 ERA. That is pretty damn good, but it is nothing compared to Sonny Gray. This year Gray has been the best pitcher on staff for the Twins. He is an early Cy Young favorite with a 4-0 record, a 1.35 ERA and 47 K’s. Sonny has been dominant and I see that going into today’s game. It should be a good game until the Twins get to Smyly around the 5th and Gray cruises to another win. Plus the Twins are home, give me the Minnesota boys today!

Miami Heat ML -225 vs. Knicks

I am very proud of my Knicks this year and especially not giving up and losing the series on the home court. They protected Madison Square Garden and that was awesome to see them fight for it. I have to be realistic because I love my money more than my Knicks. The Heat are just the better team, and the Knicks don’t play well in Miami. Hammer the Heat tonight to win by 10+ and congrats to my Knicks for a great building block year.

Golden State Warriors ML +120 @ Lakers

Sorry but Steph, Draymond and Clay are just not done playing basketball this year. They are winners and they know how to come back in a series. I expect them to come out guns blazing from 3 and making this game go back home. The Warriors are going to make Lebron take them out at home and really earn this series. This series was always going 7. This bet is just what will happen even if the odds don’t say it will, we all know it’s going 7.

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Ultimate College Football Preview, 130 Teams In 130 Days: Tulsa

Welcome to the Ultimate College Football Preview for 2023. Every team in FBS Football will be covered in this daily blog release. All of your favorite teams from the ACC, AAC, Big 12, Big 10, C-USA, MAC, Mountain West, PAC 12, SEC, Sun Belt & even every Independent. Think of these daily college football previews as a cheat sheet going into next year.

2022 Recap:

This college football preview I am going to be nothing but honest. Tulsa was a bad team last year that showed it could be a good team. I mean this team lost to Wyoming but somehow beat Houston on the road. Like how the fuck did that happen? How do you let Navy score 56 points on you? But then play Ole Miss very close at the Grove and almost pull an upset. When I see scores and stats like this it tells me this is a young team with talent and no experience.

Head Coach:

New Head Coach Kevin Wilson takes over for Phil Montgomery this year after another losing season under Montgomery. Wilson comes into Tulsa after being the Offensive Coordinator at Ohio since 2017. He was the head coach at Indiana from 2011 to 2017 and boasted a 26-47 record there, not great but it is Indiana. Wilson has been a successful Offensive Coordinator at 4 other schools since 1988. Wilson runs an up tempo run and shoot offense that could help Tulsa and moved them out of the old Veer style they were running. Wilson’s quick paced offense could help an undersized line and less athletic skill players make bigger plays because of the scheme. I think this might be a perfect fit for Tulsa who is looking for someone to change the culture and the offense of the Hurricanes.

Key Players:

The two most important parts of a college football preview are the players back and the schedule. Here are some play makers coming back for Tulsa. Jordan Ford is the leading rusher coming back for the Hurricanes. He had 288 yards rushing, 20 catches and 2 touchdowns last season. As the third back last year used sparingly. They don’t have any WRs coming back from last year that contributed more than a catch here or there. Tulas will need to find their guys to replace huge numbers from Keylon Stokes who had 1,224 yards on 76 catches and 8 touchdowns. They have young WR who will have to gel with a brand new QB and new RB. The offense is very young and will look to Coach Wilson for guidance in a new system. That new QB is former 3 star recruit out of Decatur Texas. Looking at his high school tape he does throw a very catchable deep ball and has nice touch. Not an elite arm on sideline throws so timing will be critical for the first year starter. On defense they have to replace 200 tackles and 4 sacks with Justin Wright and Bryson Powers moving on. Graduate Student Kendarin Ray comes back as the leading tackler last year with 86 tackles, 3 TFL’s and 1 int. They have a ton of graduate and transfers starting on the defense as of now. They lack depth LB and Safety going into fall camp they will need to work on those positions.

2023 Prediction:

I think when I do the college football preview for Tulsa next year it will be a lot different. I love the hiring of Coach Wilson and the scheme change. As for my prediction for this year. I think if they go 2-2 in the non-conference that is a huge win I think 1-3 is more likely. They have Washington and Oklahoma both two very good teams and the Northern Illinois game is hard as well. If they can go 3-5 or 4-4 in conference with all the roster holes and wholesale changes it is a win year one for Coach Wilson. With that being said 7-5 is an amazing year, 6-6 a good year and most likely ending up with 5-7. Next year watch out though.

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Ultimate College Football Preview, 130 Teams In A 130 Days: Tulane

Welcome to the Ultimate College Football Preview for 2023. Every team in FBS Football will be covered in this daily blog release. All of your favorite teams from the ACC, AAC, Big 12, Big 10, C-USA, MAC, Mountain West, PAC 12, SEC, Sun Belt & even every Independent. Think of these daily college football previews as a cheat sheet going into next year.

2022 Recap:

This Tulane team had a hell of a year last year. The Green Wave Finished at 12-2, 9th in the country, a Cotton Bowl Win and AAC Champions. One word when it comes to the 2022 Tulane squad is balanced. They were balanced in both offense and defense did their jobs. Also their offense was a great mix of rushing and passing. They lost twice and were able to revenge that one loss to UCF in the AAC Championship game. Tulane was the best and most exciting group of 5 team in college football last year.

Head Coach:

Head Coach Willie Fritz has been a mainstay at Tulane for seven years. It has been an up and down tenure in Nola for Fritz, with 4 years of being bowl eligible and 3 years of being bad. That is to be expected at a group of 5 school. Fritz should be the example for all G-5 schools AD’s and fans. You’re not going to win ten games every year and go to a big bowl. But if you can go bowling every other year and once in a while hit a magic recruiting class, where guys over perform you can shoot up the rankings for an amazing run. That is what Fritz has done at Tulane. He has won 3 bowl games and has been to 4. Tulane is usually in play for the top of the AAC, if they have an off year they jump back to the middle and top of the conference the next year. This is a fun college football preview, it is fun when the team is good.

Key Players:

Senior QB Micheal Pratt is back after his terrific season last year. Pratt had 3,009 yards on 63.6% completion percentage, 27 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. He was very good at leading his team up and down the field with the help of his running game. The Green Wave will need to replace Tyjae Spears and his 1,581 yards rushing. He averaged 6.9 yards per carry and had 19 touchdowns, also added 22 catches for 256 yards and 2 more touchdowns. Spears was electric for Tulane and will be very hard to replace in the backfield. Iverson Celestine and Shaadie Clayton will split the load this year. Both did contribute last year and between them had 639 yards, and 2 touchdowns in small roles. The Wave do have WR’s coming back to help out Pratt. Jha’Quan Jackson and Lawrence Keys who combined had 63 catches for 850 yards and 5 touchdowns will be the leaders for the younger receiving room The defense has a lot of work to do in replacing their top 5 lead tacklers and top 2 sack leaders. A bright side coming back to Tulane is Jarius Monroe, the teams leading man with 3 interceptions last season at cornerback.

2023 Prediction:

This college football preview has been a love fest for last years team, but how will Tulane answer their best season ever? I think at their ceiling this team can win 10 games with this schedule. I also see if their defense does not play well they can win 7. South Alabama should not be overlooked game 1, they are up tempo and can score. Ole Miss will be a tough one to get even at home. Southern Miss beat them last year, so you can’t sleep on them. And I just like ECU this year. Those are tough games in an AAC conference in which every single team improved this season. I like their wins right at 9 and expect their win total on the books to be 8.5.

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Put These On The Card 5/11

We are still not hitting that high, high goal of 75% but goddamn are we making money. Shoot for the stars and hey you might just end up on the moon. Another good day of gambling going 2-1 on “put these on the card“.

Lets be like Johnny, go all the way up! Lets not be like Johnny and crash! We will be the first 2 versus of this song and just be a superstar of gambling, without fizzling out. For the week we are 6-3, not bad but still a little off the goal pace. Today I have 3 picks with unbelievable potential. So put these on the card.

New York Mets ML -200 @ Cincinnati

Look I told you yesterday my Mets would get it done and even bet my fandom on it. They won the game and we won the money. Today, with Senga on the mound they really start rolling. The bats get going and the Mets rip off 8 of the next ten because of our bet yesterday. LFGM!!

Philadelphia 76ers ML +118 vs. Boston

I am not sure why the Sixers are dogs at home to the Celtics. I know history would tell you the Celtics will come back and Philly will lose in a horrendous way. But this is this year and the Sixers have come to play. Last game Maxey and Joel both had 30. Game 1 and 4 it was Harden carrying the load. With my eyes, Philly wants this series more and Boston just seems off. I think it is over tonight in Philly.

Arizona Diamondbacks ML +118 vs. Giants

I told you in the beginning of the year in one of the put these on the card blogs this is a rule play. That when the D-Backs are at home getting money vs. a team that is average I am taking the Diamondbacks. No stats, just gut and the knowledge that Arizona is very underrated in the eyes of book makers. I love the Diamondbacks and the plus money tonight. The Giants suck, I am pretty sure my record is 14-3 while betting them this year.

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Ultimate College Football Preview, 130 Teams In A 130 Days: Temple

Welcome to the Ultimate College Football Preview for 2023. Every team in FBS Football will be covered in this daily blog release. All of your favorite teams from the ACC, AAC, Big 12, Big 10, C-USA, MAC, Mountain West, PAC 12, SEC, Sun Belt & even every Independent. Think of these daily college football previews as a cheat sheet going into next year.

2022 Recap:

Another college football review of a bad team. At least Temple won more then one game last year. But lets not kid ourselves this was a very bad team that somehow went 3-9 and not 0-12. The Owls were 106th in points per game on offense. Defense was better, being ranked 96th in points allowed per game. I do believe this is the first college football preview this year I have done where both sides of the ball were ranked 90th or worse. They were blown out in 5 of their 9 loses but the other 4 were competitive if you are looking for a positive. Also winning 3 games means they believe in the coach and just need some time to work in his system.

Head Coach:

Stan Drayton had a rough first year in Philadelphia but that is not uncommon. His team did not quit on him and won some games. Drayton has tons of experience coaching, but that is mostly running backs. He has been a running backs coach in the NFL and in college from 1993-2016. Even in his last stop at Texas (2016-2021) he was the Assistant Head Coach and Running Backs coach. I have to be honest I don’t know too much about his scheme or coaching style. I know he prefers running a 3-4 defense and spread on offense. It is hard to give a good bio on the man being a head coach who hasn’t even been a coordinator before. I guess it is a wait and see for the Temple Head Coach.

Key Players:

E.J. Warner is back at QB coming off his Freshman year where he showed signs off his fathers talent. Warner had 3,028 yards, on a 60.8% completion percentage, throwing 18 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Those aren’t terrible numbers for a first year player, and if the interceptions go down a little while the td’s go up he will be a good QB in the AAC. Right now though there is no LT or C listed on the offensive depth chart and only 4 WR’s none who contributed last year. The fall camp will be very important for chemistry in the offense. They will need to put playmakers in key postions to have a winning offense. If you look at the defense depth is also an issue only 5 positions have more than 1 player on the depth chart. They do have leading tackler OLB Jordan Magee back, last year he had 86 tackles, 9 TFL’s and 4.5 sacks. His two partners in crime Yvandy Rigby with his 82 tackles, 5 TFL’s and 2 sacks. Also Layton Jordan with 54 tackles, 18.5 TFL and 9 sacks. It is safe to say Temple has some LB’s that produce! Depth at DL and Defensive Back will be key. I think they could be the best defense in the AAC this year if they add pieces in fall camp.

2023 Prediction:

Looking at the Owls schedule for 2023, I am seeing a way to a bowl game at 7-5 more realistically 6-6. I think they go 2-1 in the non-conference vs. Rutgers, Akron and Norfolk State. I think they can go 4-5 or 5-4 in conference with an improved defense and offense. They will need to fill those roster gaps but I can see the light for the Philadelphia base Temple Owls. Maybe things start turning around slowly.

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Put These On The Card 5/10

Back to Back days on “put these on the card” of doing well but not hitting my goal. The Rays would lose on the day I bet them heavy and I could have gone undefeated. My two other sure bets hit easy, but I’m still not at 75%. It is still early in the week and I believe I will accomplish my crazy high goal this week.

Yeah that classic just puts me in the right mind set to pick some winners. Right now we are at 4-2 on the week, just behind my pace of 75%. I have the picks today to get us to 7-2 and over that mark. Lets have a hell of a hump day and make sure to put these on the card!

New York Yankees ML -250 vs. Oakland

I took the Yankees yesterday on the simple fact that they are not allowed to lose to Oakland. This stands true again today. I expect better pitching from the Yankees and the same amount of run support. The bats were alive yesterday for the Bronx Bombers but the pitching almost let Jordan Diaz single handedly win them a game. I trust this won’t happen again and the Yankees win 8-1, 9-2 today.

Tampa Bay Rays ML -122 @ Baltimore

I bet on them yesterday and they let me down. There is no way they are losing back to back games to anyone, let alone the Orioles. I trust the Rays lineup to come out swinging today as they let down Eflin last night with only 2 runs. Rays win here, scoring at least 7.

New York Mets ML -172 @ Cincinnati

I know, I know, I know I said I wouldn’t bet on my damn Mets but Verlander did look good his first start. And I mean come on they are playing the goddamn Reds. There is no reason the Mets lose this game at all. The Mets win this easily and this time if they do lose I am 100% done. No more going back to the abusive relationship just because the sex is good. I will break the habit if they lose, but they won’t so do not worry about it.

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